Eugene Oregon Real Estate Blog by Craig Tomlinson


Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP)

According to a recent WSJ article, most mortgage modifications don’t work.  Less than 2% of the projected allotment of $75 billion for the HAMP program has actually been spent to help homeowners avoid foreclosure.

Nationwide, 6.7 million homes were lost to foreclosure or short sale in the decade ending in 2010.  Half again as many are projected to meet the same fate in the next 3 years.  If projections are accurate, that should keep it a buyer’s market through 2013.

The number of distressed properties in Eugene and Springfield isn’t exactly known—but they are common and I do a lot of them.  Rejection from the HAMP program was about 3 of every 4 participants in the western states, including Oregon.  If mortgage modification doesn’t work, a short sale may be a good option for you.

Most mortgage modificatins don't work.



Earthquakes
The destruction from the recent earthquake in Japan and in Christchurch, New Zealand is a reminder of how vulnerable we all can be.  All construction and engineering is a balance between risk management and economics.  It’s possible to build a structure that will essentially never fall down.  However, that would be very expensive—and affording the building is the real key.
So how safe are structures in Eugene and Springfield?  At least one company thought they weren’t safe enough—Symantec is spending millions of dollars to upgrade its Springfield facilities.

The possibility of an earthquake in Lane County is there—we live in the Cascadia Subduction Zone, which is known to be seismically active.  So what can you do?  Local building codes have continued to become more stringent and therefore more earthquake resistant so new structures will fare better if an earthquake does happen.  Plus, earthquake insurance is available.

What do most of us do?  Ignore the risk.

 

Will building codes keep earthquake aftermath in Lane County from looking like this?



Housing Prices Close To Bottom

Experts are saying the prices for houses are close to the bottom—meaning price increases are just around the corner.  And, houses are becoming increasingly affordable.  Nationally, house prices are less than two-years’ salary.  In Lane County, though they’re still higher than that.

However home ownership is part of the American Dream and the net worth of home owners is some 40-times greater than renters.

Is home ownership in your dreams?



Remodeling and Home Improvement

Remodeling and renovating is another area of the market in Eugene and Springfield that fell on hard times during the Great Recession.  We have bottomed-out though—and business is improving.

While home improvements don’t return dollar for dollar on resale, they still make sense if you plan to stay in the house for a period of time.

Rebuilding the housing market brick by brick.



Significant Source of Lane County Employment Slowly Recovering

The logging and wood products industries are recovering, but slowly.  Both are significant sources of employment in Lane County.  Additionally, the housing market is the chief source of demand for wood products.  Construction of more single-family houses is what’s needed, but building of such homes is at low levels around Eugene Springfield—and nationwide.

Before more new home building can start up, the inventory of existing homes for sale needs to decrease.  In the meantime, it’s a great time to buy.



Short Sales in Eugene and Springfield

Short sales in Eugene and Springfield are becoming increasingly commonplace.  While difficult, both buyers and sellers put up with them.  Why?  For sellers, short sales damage their credit less than other options.  For buyers, they represent great values.

Even expensive homes aren’t immune to short sales.  Below is an example of a short sale I recently did.  It sold for nearly ¾ of a million dollars.  At 8 acres and 1/8 mile of McKenzie River frontage it was a great buy.

If short sales in Eugene or Springfield intrigue you, get a hold of me.



Lending for Commercial Construction Has Increased

An influx of cash for commercial real estate means more projects, and ultimately more jobs.  New apartments are a particularly strong segment of new construction.  And while construction jobs are expected to recover—it will be slow.  About 1/3 of construction jobs disappeared during the Great Recession.

In Eugene, commercial construction is more active than residential.  For example, construction is ongoing on the new $12 million, 69-room boutique hotel at the 5th Street Public Market.

Vision for 5th Street Market Hotel Property



Recycle Those Fluorescent Light Bulbs

Fluorescent light bulbs are becoming more and more popular in homes—so much so that incandescent light bulbs are being phased out in the U.S.  Why?  Because flourescent light bulbs are proven to help residents save money on their utility bills.  But, the downside of the fluorescent bulb is that they contain mercury.  Therefore it is very important that these bulbs be recycled.  In Eugene and Springfield, Jerry’s, among other places will accept fluorescent bulbs for recycling.

Tip: If you are selling your home, making sure you have operable light bulbs (non burnt-out) in the highest wattage rated for the fixture is one way of helping your home seem bright.



Local Economic Forecast Positive

After last month’s 17th annual Economic Forecast presented by Eugene Area Chamber of Commerce, the University of Oregon and The Register-Guard things are looking up for the local economy.  Unemployment is decreasing; and because of that, the chances of a double-dip recession are quickly declining.  Additionally, these improving fundamentals will help the Eugene real estate market.

Eugene, OR



Economic Expansion Largest In Years

In a recent Wall Street Journal article it was reported that the rate of economic expansion (GDP increase) is expected to be its largest since 2003.   And while national unemployment is still high, it is expected to dip below 9% by the year’s end.  Currently the unemployment in Lane County is still above 10%.
 
So what does this mean for housing prices?   Housing prices are affected by a number of factors, but fundamentally, it comes down to supply and demand.  High unemployment decreases demand; you need a job in order to pay your mortgage.  I expect a soft market in Eugene Springfield until our stubbornly high unemployment rate drops.

More jobs will help Eugene's real estate market.




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